Working Papers & Recent Publications
- “Trade Policy Reform and Economic Growth Revisited,” with James Feyrer, work in progress.
- “Does Trade Reform Promote Economic Growth? A Review of Recent Evidence,” PIIE version May 2019. NBER version, June.
- “The Rise and Fall of Import Substitution,” work in progress.
- “U.S. Trade Policy in Historical Perspective,” Annual Review of Economics (2020), forthcoming.
- “Adam Smith’s Tolerable Administration of Justice and the Wealth of Nations“, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, forthcoming.
- “Tariff Incidence: Evidence from U.S. Sugar Duties, 1890-1914,” National Tax Journal (September 2019), forthcoming.
- “The Midway and Beyond: Recent Work on Economics at Chicago,” History of Political Economy, December 2018
- “The Missing Bretton Woods Debate over Flexible Exchange Rates,” in The Bretton Woods Agreements, edited by Naomi Lamoreaux and Ian Shapiro, Yale University Press, 2019.
- “The GATT’s Starting Point: Tariff Levels circa 1947” (with Chad Bown),In Assessing the World Trade Organization: Fit for Purpose?, edited by Manfred Elsig, Bernard Hoekman, and Joost Pauwelyn. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2017.
Articles in Foreign Affairs
- “Trump Trade Policy,” (with Chad P. Bown), Foreign Affairs 98 (September/October 2019), forthcoming.
- “The False Promise of Protectionism: Why Trump’s Trade Policy Could Backfire.” Foreign Affairs 96 (May/June 2017): 45-56.
- “The Truth about Trade: What Critics Get Wrong about the Global Economy.” Foreign Affairs 95 (June/July 2016): 84-95.
- “What Might a Trump withdrawal from the World Trade Organization Mean for U.S. Tariffs?” (with Chad Bown), November 2018