Research – All


“Susceptibility to Threatening News and Opposition to Refugee Resettlement: The Case of Japan” (with Yoshikuni Ono) [SSRN]

“Treated Politicians, Treated Voters: A Natural Experiment of Political Budget Cycle” (with Kentaro Fukumoto and Shoichiro Tanaka) [SSRN]

“Misinformation, Economic Threat, and Opposition to International Trade” (with D.J. Flynn and Dong Zhang) [SSRN]

“Randomized Ballot Order Can Increase Invalid Votes: Evidence from Australia” (with Alexandra R. Woodruff) [SSRN] — R&R


“Does Voter Registration Foster Civic Attitudes? A Natural Experiment in Japan” (with Hiroto Katsumata and Ethan Woodard) [SSRN]

“Does Conjoint Analysis Mitigate Social Desirability Bias?” (with Zachary Markovich and Teppei Yamamoto)

“Are Voters’ Decisions Consistent with Their Policy Preferences?” (with Shiro Kuriwaki and Daniel M. Smith)


[A29] “Gender Gaps in Perceptions of Political Science Journals” (with Nadia Brown, Mala Htun, and David Samuels). PS: Political Science & Politics, forthcoming [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package]

[A28] “Partisan Motivated Reasoning and Misinformation in the Media: Is News from Ideologically Uncongenial Sources More Suspicious?” (with Katie Clayton, Jase Davis, and Kristen Hinckley). Japanese Journal of Political Science, forthcoming. [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package]

[A27] “Exposure to Immigration and Admission Preferences: Evidence from France” (with Katie Clayton and Jeremy Ferwerda). Political Behavior, forthcoming. [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package]

[A26] “Student Attitudes Toward Campus Diversity at the United States Naval Academy: Evidence from Conjoint Survey Experiments” (with John Polga-Hecimovich and John Carey). Armed Forces & Society, forthcoming. [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package]

[A25] “Who Wants to Hire a More Diverse Faculty? A Conjoint Analysis of Faculty and Student Preferences for Gender and Racial/Ethnic Diversity” (with John M. Carey, Kevin Carman, Katherine Clayton, Mala N. Htun, and Brittany Ortiz). Politics, Groups and Identities, forthcoming. [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package]

[A24] “Has Trump Damaged the U.S. Image Abroad? Decomposing the Effects of Policy Messages on Foreign Public Opinion” (with Alexander Agadjanian). Political Behavior, forthcoming. [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package][Press Release]

[A23] “Identifying Voter Preferences for Politicians’ Personal Attributes: A Conjoint Experiment in Japan” (with Daniel Smith and Teppei Yamamoto). Political Science Research and Methods, forthcoming. [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package]

[A22] “Why Should the Republicans Pray for Rain? Electoral Consequences of Rainfall Revisited” (with Woo Chang Kang). American Politics Research, Vol. 46, Issue 5, pp. 868-889, September 2018. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package][Press Release]

[A21] “Measuring Voters’ Multidimensional Policy Preferences with Conjoint Analysis: Application to Japan’s 2014 Election” (with Daniel Smith and Teppei Yamamoto). Political Analysis, Vol. 26, Issue 2, pp. 190-209, April 2018. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A20] “America’s Role in the Making of Japan’s Economic Miracle” (with Michael Beckley and Jennifer M. Miller). Journal of East Asian Studies, Vol. 18, Issue 1, pp. 1-21, March 2018. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A19] “Explaining Opposition to Refugee Resettlement: The Role of NIMBYism and Perceived Threats” (with Jeremy A. Ferwarda and D. J. Flynn). Science Advances, 06 Sep 2017: Vol. 3, no. 9, e1700812. DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1700812 [URL] [SSRN][Replication Package][Press Release]

[A18] “Compulsory Voting and Income Inequality: Evidence for Lijphart’s Proposition from Venezuela” (with John M. Carey). Latin American Politics and Society, Vol. 59, No. 2, pp. 122-144, Summer 2017. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A17] “Identifying the Effect of Mobilization on Voter Turnout through a Natural Experiment” (with Kentaro Fukumoto). Electoral Studies, Vol. 44, pp. 192-202, December 2016. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A16] “No Sorting, No Advantage: Regression Discontinuity Estimates of Incumbency Advantage in Japan” (with Kenichi Ariga, Roland Mansilla, and Michio Umeda). Electoral Studies, Vol. 43, pp. 21-31, September 2016. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A15] “The Opportunity Cost of Conflict: Statistically Comparing Israel and Synthetic Israel” (with Asher Mayerson). Political Science Research and Methods, Vol. 3, No. 3, pp. 609-618, September 2015. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A14] “Hard Acts to Follow: Predecessor Effects on Party Leader Survival” (with Matthew Laing and Paul ‘t Hart). Party Politics, Vol. 21, No 3, pp. 357-366, May 2015. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A13] “Removing Boundaries, Losing Connections: Electoral Consequences of Local Government Reform in Japan” (with Jun Saito and Kyohei Yamada). Journal of East Asian Studies, Vol. 15, No 1, pp. 99-125, January-April 2015. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A12] “Doing Well by Doing Good: The Impact of Foreign Aid on Foreign Public Opinion” (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith and Terence Wood). Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Vol. 9, Issue 1, pp. 87-114, March 2014. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A11] “Should Candidates Smile to Win Elections?: An Application of Automated Face Recognition Technology” (with Tadashi Komatsu and Fumio Nakaya). Political Psychology, Vol. 33, Issue 6, pp. 925–933, December 2012. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A10] “In Search of Soft Power: Does Foreign Public Opinion Matter for U.S. Foreign Policy?” (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith). World Politics, Vol. 64, Issue 3, pp. 555-585., 2012. [SSRN] [DOI][Replication Package]

[A9] “Making Outsiders’ Votes Count: Detecting Electoral Fraud through a Natural Experiment” (with Kentaro Fukumoto). American Political Science Review, Vol. 105, Issue 3, pp. 586-603, August 2011. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A8] “Cultivating Rice and Votes: Institutional Origins of Agricultural Protectionism in Japan” (with Jun Saito). Journal of East Asian Studies, Vol. 10, No. 3, pp. 425-452, September-December 2010. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A7] “Understanding Japanese Politics from a Local Perspective.” International Political Science Review, Vol. 30, No. 5, pp. 565-573, November 2009. [SSRN] [DOI] * There is no replication package for this paper.

[A6] “Spinning the Globe? U.S. Public Diplomacy and Foreign Public Opinion” (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith). The Journal of Politics, Vol. 71, Issue 3, pp. 863-875, July 2009. [SSRN] [DOI] [PDF] [Online Appendix][Replication Package]

[A5] “The Presidency, Regionalism and Distributive Politics in South Korea” (with Seungjoo Lee). Comparative Political Studies, Vol. 41, Issue 6, pp. 861-882, June 2008. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A4] “Designing and Analyzing Randomized Experiments: Application to a Japanese Election Survey Experiment” (with Kosuke Imai and Naoko Taniguchi). American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 51, Issue 3, pp. 669-687, July 2007. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A3] “American Foreign Policy and Global Opinion: Who Supported the War in Afghanistan?” (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith and Takashi Inoguchi). Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 49, No. 3, pp. 408-429, June 2005. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A2] “Malapportionment and Income Inequality: A Cross-National Analysis.” British Journal of Political Science, Vol. 34, Part 1, pp. 179-183, January 2004. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

[A1] “Reapportionment and Redistribution: Consequences of Electoral Reform in Japan” (with Jun Saito). American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 47, Issue 4, pp. 669-682, October 2003. *Received the Alan Rosenthal Prize from the Legislative Studies Section of the American Political Science Association. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]


[B3] Spinning the Globe: The U.S. and Global Public Opinion (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith). In preparation

[B2] Campus Diversity: The Hidden Consensus on (with John M. Carey and Katherine P. Clayton). 2018. New York: Cambridge University Press, forthcoming.

[B1] Institutions, Incentives and Electoral Participation in Japan: Cross-Level and Cross-National Perspectives. 2005. London and New York: Routledge. [Publisher’s Page]


[J9] “Sejigaku ni okeru Tōkei Bunseki no Furontia” [Frontiers of Data Analysis in Political Science]. Mita Gakkai Zasshi [Mita Journal of Economics], Vol. 107, No. 4, January 2015, pp. 1-8. [URL][PDF]

[J8] “Sangiin-giin Tsūjjo Senkyo Deeta Beesu no Kaihatsu to Riyō” [The Database of Japanese House of Councilors Elections: Development and User Guide] (with Ryota Natori, Kentaro Fukumoto, Kazuo Kishimoto, Akira Tsuji, and Hidenori Tsutsumi). Senkyo Kenkyū [Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies], Vol. 30, No. 2, 2014, pp. 105-115.

[J7] “Kaigai ni okeru Gendai Nihon Seiji Kenkyū” [Overseas Studies of Contemporary Japanese Politics]. Leviathan, No. 40, April 2007, pp. 87-93. [PDF]

[J6] “Nidai Seitōsei wo Sogai Suru Chihō Senkyo Seido” [The Impact of Subnational Electoral Systems on the Duvergerian Equilibrium: The Case of Japan] (with Ryota Natori). Shakai Kagaku Kenkyū [The Journal of Social Science], Vol. 58, No. 5/6, March 2007, pp. 21-32.

[J5] “Seisaku Jyōhō to Tōhyō Sanka: Fīrudo Jikken ni yoru Kensyō” [Policy Information and Voter Participation: A Field Experiment] (with Kosuke Imai and Naoko Taniguchi). Nenpō Seijigaku [The Annals of the Japanese Political Science Association], 2005-I, November 2005, pp. 161-180. [DOI]

[J4] “Kokusai Yoron, Riron Moderu to Ji’shō Hōhō: Amerika Shudō no Afuganisutan Sensō wo Darega Shiji Shitaka” [Global Public Opinion, Models and Methods: A Case Study of the 2001 U.S.-led War in Afghanistan] (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith and Takashi Inoguchi). Leviathan, No. 36, April 2005, pp. 62-81.

[J3] “Sakiokuri no Kōzō: 1992-nen Natsu, Kōteki Shikin Tōnyū wa Naze Sakiokuri Saretaka?” [The Anatomy of Delayed Responses]. In Heisei Baburu: Sakiokuri no Kenkyū [Heisei Bubble: A Study of Delayed Responses], edited by Michio Muramatsu. Tokyo: Toyō Keizai Shimpō Sha, March 2005, pp. 130-157.

[J2] “Senkyo Seido Kaikaku ni tomonau Giin Teisū Haibu Kakusa no Zesei to Hojyokin Haibun Kakusa no Zesei” [Electoral Reform, Reapportionment and Redistribution] (with Jun Saito). Leviathan, No. 32, April 2003, pp. 29-49.

[J1] “Hi-jyoretsu-ka Risan Hensū wo Jyūzoku Hensū to suru Tōkei Moderu no Hikaku: Seijigaku he no Ōyō-jyō no Ryūiten.” [A Comparison of Statistical Models for Non-ordered Discrete Dependent Variables]. Senkyo Kenkyū [Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies], No. 16, 2001, pp. 101-113. [DOI]