Research – Japan


“Treated Politicians, Treated Voters: A Natural Experiment of Political Budget Cycle” (with Kentaro Fukumoto and Shoichiro Tanaka) [SSRN]


“Does Voter Registration Foster Civic Attitudes? A Natural Experiment in Japan” (with Hiroto Katsumata and Ethan Woodard) [SSRN]

“Are Voters’ Decisions Consistent with Their Policy Preferences?” (with Shiro Kuriwaki and Daniel M. Smith)

“Susceptibility to Threat-Provoking News and Opposition to Refugee Resettlement: The Case of Japan” (with Yoshikuni Ono) [SSRN]


“Has Trump Damaged the U.S. Image Abroad? Decomposing the Effects of Policy Messages on Foreign Public Opinion” (with Alexander Agadjanian). Political Behavior, forthcoming. [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package][Press Release]

“Identifying Voter Preferences for Politicians’ Personal Attributes: A Conjoint Experiment in Japan” (with Daniel Smith and Teppei Yamamoto). Political Science Research and Methods, forthcoming. [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package]

“Measuring Voters’ Multidimensional Policy Preferences with Conjoint Analysis: Application to Japan’s 2014 Election” (with Daniel Smith and Teppei Yamamoto). Political Analysis, Vol. 26, Issue 2, pp. 190-209, April 2018. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

“America’s Role in the Making of Japan’s Economic Miracle” (with Michael Beckley and Jennifer M. Miller). Journal of East Asian Studies, Vol. 18, Issue 1, pp. 1-21, March 2018. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

“Identifying the Effect of Mobilization on Voter Turnout through a Natural Experiment” (with Kentaro Fukumoto). Electoral Studies, Vol. 44, pp. 192-202, December 2016. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

“No Sorting, No Advantage: Regression Discontinuity Estimates of Incumbency Advantage in Japan” (with Kenichi Ariga, Roland Mansilla, and Michio Umeda). Electoral Studies, Vol. 43, pp. 21-31, September 2016. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

“Removing Boundaries, Losing Connections: Electoral Consequences of Local Government Reform in Japan” (with Jun Saito and Kyohei Yamada). Journal of East Asian Studies, Vol. 15, No 1, pp. 99-125, January-April 2015. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

“Should Candidates Smile to Win Elections?: An Application of Automated Face Recognition Technology” (with Tadashi Komatsu and Fumio Nakaya). Political Psychology, Vol. 33, Issue 6, pp. 925–933, December 2012. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

“Making Outsiders’ Votes Count: Detecting Electoral Fraud through a Natural Experiment” (with Kentaro Fukumoto). American Political Science Review, Vol. 105, Issue 3, pp. 586-603, August 2011. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

“Cultivating Rice and Votes: Institutional Origins of Agricultural Protectionism in Japan” (with Jun Saito). Journal of East Asian Studies, Vol. 10, No. 3, pp. 425-452, September-December 2010. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

“Understanding Japanese Politics from a Local Perspective.” International Political Science Review, Vol. 30, No. 5, pp. 565-573, November 2009. [SSRN] [DOI] * There is no replication package for this paper.

“Designing and Analyzing Randomized Experiments: Application to a Japanese Election Survey Experiment” (with Kosuke Imai and Naoko Taniguchi). American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 51, Issue 3, pp. 669-687, July 2007. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]

“Reapportionment and Redistribution: Consequences of Electoral Reform in Japan” (with Jun Saito). American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 47, Issue 4, pp. 669-682, October 2003. *Received the Alan Rosenthal Prize from the Legislative Studies Section of the American Political Science Association. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]


Institutions, Incentives and Electoral Participation in Japan: Cross-Level and Cross-National Perspectives. 2005. London and New York: Routledge. [Publisher’s Page]


“Sejigaku ni okeru Tōkei Bunseki no Furontia” [Frontiers of Data Analysis in Political Science]. Mita Gakkai Zasshi [Mita Journal of Economics], Vol. 107, No. 4, January 2015, pp. 1-8. [URL][PDF]

“Sangiin-giin Tsūjjo Senkyo Deeta Beesu no Kaihatsu to Riyō” [The Database of Japanese House of Councilors Elections: Development and User Guide] (with Ryota Natori, Kentaro Fukumoto, Kazuo Kishimoto, Akira Tsuji, and Hidenori Tsutsumi). Senkyo Kenkyū [Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies], Vol. 30, No. 2, 2014, pp. 105-115.

“Kaigai ni okeru Gendai Nihon Seiji Kenkyū” [Overseas Studies of Contemporary Japanese Politics]. Leviathan, No. 40, April 2007, pp. 87-93. [PDF]

“Nidai Seitōsei wo Sogai Suru Chihō Senkyo Seido” [The Impact of Subnational Electoral Systems on the Duvergerian Equilibrium: The Case of Japan] (with Ryota Natori). Shakai Kagaku Kenkyū [The Journal of Social Science], Vol. 58, No. 5/6, March 2007, pp. 21-32.

“Seisaku Jyōhō to Tōhyō Sanka: Fīrudo Jikken ni yoru Kensyō” [Policy Information and Voter Participation: A Field Experiment] (with Kosuke Imai and Naoko Taniguchi). Nenpō Seijigaku [The Annals of the Japanese Political Science Association], 2005-I, November 2005, pp. 161-180. [DOI]

“Kokusai Yoron, Riron Moderu to Ji’shō Hōhō: Amerika Shudō no Afuganisutan Sensō wo Darega Shiji Shitaka” [Global Public Opinion, Models and Methods: A Case Study of the 2001 U.S.-led War in Afghanistan] (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith and Takashi Inoguchi). Leviathan, No. 36, April 2005, pp. 62-81.

“Sakiokuri no Kōzō: 1992-nen Natsu, Kōteki Shikin Tōnyū wa Naze Sakiokuri Saretaka?” [The Anatomy of Delayed Responses]. In Heisei Baburu: Sakiokuri no Kenkyū [Heisei Bubble: A Study of Delayed Responses], edited by Michio Muramatsu. Tokyo: Toyō Keizai Shimpō Sha, March 2005, pp. 130-157.

“Senkyo Seido Kaikaku ni tomonau Giin Teisū Haibu Kakusa no Zesei to Hojyokin Haibun Kakusa no Zesei” [Electoral Reform, Reapportionment and Redistribution] (with Jun Saito). Leviathan, No. 32, April 2003, pp. 29-49.

“Hi-jyoretsu-ka Risan Hensū wo Jyūzoku Hensū to suru Tōkei Moderu no Hikaku: Seijigaku he no Ōyō-jyō no Ryūiten.” [A Comparison of Statistical Models for Non-ordered Discrete Dependent Variables]. Senkyo Kenkyū [Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies], No. 16, 2001, pp. 101-113. [DOI]