“Does Voter Registration Foster Civic Attitudes? A Natural Experiment in Japan” (with Hiroto Katsumata and Ethan Woodard) [SSRN]
“Treated Politicians, Treated Voters: A Natural Experiment of Political Budget Cycle” (with Kentaro Fukumoto and Shoichiro Tanaka) [SSRN]
“Gender Gaps in Perceptions of Political Science Journals” (with Nadia Brown, Mala Htun, and David Samuels) [SSRN] — R&R
“Partisan Motivated Reasoning and Misinformation in the Media: Is News from Ideologically Uncongenial Sources More Suspicious?” (with Katie Clayton, Jase Davis, and Kristen Hinckley) [SSRN] — R&R
“Exposure to Immigration and Admission Preferences: Evidence from France” (with Katie Clayton and Jeremy Ferwerda) [SSRN] — R&R
“Randomized Ballot Order Can Increase Invalid Votes: Evidence from Australia” (with Alexandra R. Woodruff) [SSRN] — R&R
SELECTED WORKING PAPERS
“Does Conjoint Analysis Mitigate Social Desirability Bias?” (with Zachary Markovich and Teppei Yamamoto)
“Are Voters’ Decisions Consistent with Their Policy Preferences?” (with Shiro Kuriwaki and Daniel M. Smith)
“Misinformation, Economic Threat, and Opposition to International Trade” (with D.J. Flynn and Dong Zhang) [SSRN]
“Public Opposition to Refugee Resettlement: The Case of Japan” (with Yoshikuni Ono) [SSRN]
PUBLISHED OR FORTHCOMING ARTICLES (in English)
[A26] “Student Attitudes Toward Campus Diversity at the United States Naval Academy: Evidence from Conjoint Survey Experiments” (with John Polga-Hecimovich and John Carey). Armed Forces & Society, forthcoming. [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package]
[A25] “Who Wants to Hire a More Diverse Faculty? A Conjoint Analysis of Faculty and Student Preferences for Gender and Racial/Ethnic Diversity” (with John M. Carey, Kevin Carman, Katherine Clayton, Mala N. Htun, and Brittany Ortiz). Politics, Groups and Identities, forthcoming. [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package]
[A24] “Has Trump Damaged the U.S. Image Abroad? Decomposing the Effects of Policy Messages on Foreign Public Opinion” (with Alexander Agadjanian). Political Behavior, forthcoming. [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package][Press Release]
[A23] “Identifying Voter Preferences for Politicians’ Personal Attributes: A Conjoint Experiment in Japan” (with Daniel Smith and Teppei Yamamoto). Political Science Research and Methods, forthcoming. [SSRN][DOI][Replication Package]
[A22] “Why Should the Republicans Pray for Rain? Electoral Consequences of Rainfall Revisited” (with Woo Chang Kang). American Politics Research, Vol. 46, Issue 5, pp. 868-889, September 2018. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package][Press Release]
[A21] “Measuring Voters’ Multidimensional Policy Preferences with Conjoint Analysis: Application to Japan’s 2014 Election” (with Daniel Smith and Teppei Yamamoto). Political Analysis, Vol. 26, Issue 2, pp. 190-209, April 2018. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A20] “America’s Role in the Making of Japan’s Economic Miracle” (with Michael Beckley and Jennifer M. Miller). Journal of East Asian Studies, Vol. 18, Issue 1, pp. 1-21, March 2018. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A19] “Explaining Opposition to Refugee Resettlement: The Role of NIMBYism and Perceived Threats” (with Jeremy A. Ferwarda and D. J. Flynn). Science Advances, 06 Sep 2017: Vol. 3, no. 9, e1700812. DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1700812 [URL] [SSRN][Replication Package][Press Release]
[A18] “Compulsory Voting and Income Inequality: Evidence for Lijphart’s Proposition from Venezuela” (with John M. Carey). Latin American Politics and Society, Vol. 59, No. 2, pp. 122-144, Summer 2017. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A17] “Identifying the Effect of Mobilization on Voter Turnout through a Natural Experiment” (with Kentaro Fukumoto). Electoral Studies, Vol. 44, pp. 192-202, December 2016. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A16] “No Sorting, No Advantage: Regression Discontinuity Estimates of Incumbency Advantage in Japan” (with Kenichi Ariga, Roland Mansilla, and Michio Umeda). Electoral Studies, Vol. 43, pp. 21-31, September 2016. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A15] “The Opportunity Cost of Conflict: Statistically Comparing Israel and Synthetic Israel” (with Asher Mayerson). Political Science Research and Methods, Vol. 3, No. 3, pp. 609-618, September 2015. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A14] “Hard Acts to Follow: Predecessor Effects on Party Leader Survival” (with Matthew Laing and Paul ‘t Hart). Party Politics, Vol. 21, No 3, pp. 357-366, May 2015. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A13] “Removing Boundaries, Losing Connections: Electoral Consequences of Local Government Reform in Japan” (with Jun Saito and Kyohei Yamada). Journal of East Asian Studies, Vol. 15, No 1, pp. 99-125, January-April 2015. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A12] “Doing Well by Doing Good: The Impact of Foreign Aid on Foreign Public Opinion” (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith and Terence Wood). Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Vol. 9, Issue 1, pp. 87-114, March 2014. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A11] “Should Candidates Smile to Win Elections?: An Application of Automated Face Recognition Technology” (with Tadashi Komatsu and Fumio Nakaya). Political Psychology, Vol. 33, Issue 6, pp. 925–933, December 2012. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A10] “In Search of Soft Power: Does Foreign Public Opinion Matter for U.S. Foreign Policy?” (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith). World Politics, Vol. 64, Issue 3, pp. 555-585., 2012. [SSRN] [DOI][Replication Package]
[A9] “Making Outsiders’ Votes Count: Detecting Electoral Fraud through a Natural Experiment” (with Kentaro Fukumoto). American Political Science Review, Vol. 105, Issue 3, pp. 586-603, August 2011. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A8] “Cultivating Rice and Votes: Institutional Origins of Agricultural Protectionism in Japan” (with Jun Saito). Journal of East Asian Studies, Vol. 10, No. 3, pp. 425-452, September-December 2010. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A7] “Understanding Japanese Politics from a Local Perspective.” International Political Science Review, Vol. 30, No. 5, pp. 565-573, November 2009. [SSRN] [DOI] * There is no replication package for this paper.
[A6] “Spinning the Globe? U.S. Public Diplomacy and Foreign Public Opinion” (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith). The Journal of Politics, Vol. 71, Issue 3, pp. 863-875, July 2009. [SSRN] [DOI] [PDF] [Online Appendix][Replication Package]
[A5] “The Presidency, Regionalism and Distributive Politics in South Korea” (with Seungjoo Lee). Comparative Political Studies, Vol. 41, Issue 6, pp. 861-882, June 2008. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A4] “Designing and Analyzing Randomized Experiments: Application to a Japanese Election Survey Experiment” (with Kosuke Imai and Naoko Taniguchi). American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 51, Issue 3, pp. 669-687, July 2007. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A3] “American Foreign Policy and Global Opinion: Who Supported the War in Afghanistan?” (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith and Takashi Inoguchi). Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 49, No. 3, pp. 408-429, June 2005. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[A1] “Reapportionment and Redistribution: Consequences of Electoral Reform in Japan” (with Jun Saito). American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 47, Issue 4, pp. 669-682, October 2003. *Received the Alan Rosenthal Prize from the Legislative Studies Section of the American Political Science Association. [SSRN] [DOI] [Replication Package]
[B3] Spinning the Globe: The U.S. and Global Public Opinion (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith). In preparation
[B2] The Hidden Consensus on Campus Diversity (with John M. Carey and Katherine P. Clayton). 2018. New York: Cambridge University Press, forthcoming.
[B1] Institutions, Incentives and Electoral Participation in Japan: Cross-Level and Cross-National Perspectives. 2005. London and New York: Routledge. [Publisher’s Page]
PUBLISHED ARTICLES (in Japanese)
[J9] “Sejigaku ni okeru Tōkei Bunseki no Furontia” [Frontiers of Data Analysis in Political Science]. Mita Gakkai Zasshi [Mita Journal of Economics], Vol. 107, No. 4, January 2015, pp. 1-8. [URL][PDF]
[J8] “Sangiin-giin Tsūjjo Senkyo Deeta Beesu no Kaihatsu to Riyō” [The Database of Japanese House of Councilors Elections: Development and User Guide] (with Ryota Natori, Kentaro Fukumoto, Kazuo Kishimoto, Akira Tsuji, and Hidenori Tsutsumi). Senkyo Kenkyū [Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies], Vol. 30, No. 2, 2014, pp. 105-115.
[J7] “Kaigai ni okeru Gendai Nihon Seiji Kenkyū” [Overseas Studies of Contemporary Japanese Politics]. Leviathan, No. 40, April 2007, pp. 87-93. [PDF]
[J6] “Nidai Seitōsei wo Sogai Suru Chihō Senkyo Seido” [The Impact of Subnational Electoral Systems on the Duvergerian Equilibrium: The Case of Japan] (with Ryota Natori). Shakai Kagaku Kenkyū [The Journal of Social Science], Vol. 58, No. 5/6, March 2007, pp. 21-32.
[J5] “Seisaku Jyōhō to Tōhyō Sanka: Fīrudo Jikken ni yoru Kensyō” [Policy Information and Voter Participation: A Field Experiment] (with Kosuke Imai and Naoko Taniguchi). Nenpō Seijigaku [The Annals of the Japanese Political Science Association], 2005-I, November 2005, pp. 161-180. [DOI]
[J4] “Kokusai Yoron, Riron Moderu to Ji’shō Hōhō: Amerika Shudō no Afuganisutan Sensō wo Darega Shiji Shitaka” [Global Public Opinion, Models and Methods: A Case Study of the 2001 U.S.-led War in Afghanistan] (with Benjamin E. Goldsmith and Takashi Inoguchi). Leviathan, No. 36, April 2005, pp. 62-81.
[J3] “Sakiokuri no Kōzō: 1992-nen Natsu, Kōteki Shikin Tōnyū wa Naze Sakiokuri Saretaka?” [The Anatomy of Delayed Responses]. In Heisei Baburu: Sakiokuri no Kenkyū [Heisei Bubble: A Study of Delayed Responses], edited by Michio Muramatsu. Tokyo: Toyō Keizai Shimpō Sha, March 2005, pp. 130-157.
[J2] “Senkyo Seido Kaikaku ni tomonau Giin Teisū Haibu Kakusa no Zesei to Hojyokin Haibun Kakusa no Zesei” [Electoral Reform, Reapportionment and Redistribution] (with Jun Saito). Leviathan, No. 32, April 2003, pp. 29-49.
[J1] “Hi-jyoretsu-ka Risan Hensū wo Jyūzoku Hensū to suru Tōkei Moderu no Hikaku: Seijigaku he no Ōyō-jyō no Ryūiten.” [A Comparison of Statistical Models for Non-ordered Discrete Dependent Variables]. Senkyo Kenkyū [Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies], No. 16, 2001, pp. 101-113. [DOI]