scholarship

Great Power Rise

  • BOOK: Half-Vicious: Smart Authoritarianism and the Rise of China (forthcoming, Cornell University Press, 2025).
  • “Bipolarity is Back: How China’s Rise Transformed the Balance of Power,” International Security 9, no. 2 (Fall 2024): 7–55
  • “AI and the Balance of Power” (working paper; with Matthew Brummer)
  • “The Next Great Powers: Demographics and Great Power Rise” (working paper)
  • H-Diplo/ISSF Book Roundtable, Matthew Kroenig’s The Return of Great Power Competition (2021).
  • “Life in China’s Asia: What Regional Hegemony Would Look Like,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 97, no. 2 (2018).
  • “Asia’s Other Revisionist Power: Why U.S. Grand Strategy Unnerves China,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 96, no. 2. (2017). Listed by Foreign Affairs as one of its best articles of 2017.

Grand Strategy

  • H-Diplo/ISSF Book Roundtable, Stephen Wertheim’s Tomorrow the World (2021)
  • “Reality Check” American Power in an Age of Constraints,” Foreign Affairs (March/April 2020).  With Daryl G. Press.
  • “The Future of the Liberal Order is Conservative: A Strategy to Save the System.” Foreign Affairs (March/April 2019). With William C. Wohlforth.
  • “The Art of the Bluff: the US-Japan Alliance under the Trump Administration,” in Robert Jervis, ed., Chaos in the Liberal Order: The Trump Presidency and International Politics in the 21st Century (NY: Columbia University Press, 2018).
  • “Saving the Liberal Order From Itself,” Politique Étrangère, Vol. 82, no. 4 (2017).
  • H-Diplo/ISSF Article Review 52 on Michael Beckley’s “The Myth of Entangling Alliances,” April 13, 2016. [PDF]
  • “Keep, Toss, or Fix? The Future of America’s Asian Alliances,” in Jeremi Suri, Benjamin Valentino, and Stephen Van Evera, eds., A Sustainable National Security Strategy (Oxford University Press 2016).

Nationalism, Memory, and Reconciliation

book_sorrystates_md

Jennifer Lind, Sorry States: Apologies in International Politics (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2008).  Cornell Studies in International Security series.
Click here for more» | Buy It Now »

 

 

  • “Narratives in International Reconciliation,” Journal of Global Security Studies 5, no. 2 (2020).
  • “Apologies in International Politics,” Security Studies, Vol. 18, No. 3 (2009). [pdf]
  • “Roundtable Discussion on Jennifer Lind’s Sorry States: Apologies in International Politics,” Journal of East Asian Studies Vol. 9, No. 4, (2009). With Charles L. Glaser, Thomas U. Berger, Mike M. Mochizuki, and Jennifer Lind.
  • “Beware the Tomb of the Known Soldier,” Global Asia (April 2013). (on Yasukuni Shrine) [pdf]

 

Security Competition in East Asia

  • “Is Japan Back? Measuring Nationalism and Military Assertiveness in Asia’s Other Great Power,” Journal of East Asian Studies (2021).
  • “Markets or Mercantilism: How China Secures its Oil Supplies,” International Security, Vol. 42, no. 4 (2018). (With Daryl G. Press).
  • “Japan’s Security Evolution,” CATO Institute, Policy Analysis No. 788,  February 2016.
  • “The Geography of the Security Dilemma,” in Saadia M. Pekkanen, John Ravenhill, and Rosemary Foot, eds., The Oxford Handbook of the International Relations of Asia (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2014).
  • “The Sources of the Sino-American Spiral,” The National Interest, September 18, 2013 (with Daryl G. Press).
  • “Democratization and Stability in East Asia,” International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 55, No. 2, (June 2011), pp. 409-436. [pdf]
  • “Pacifism or Passing the Buck? Testing Theories of Japanese Security Policy,” International Security, Vol. 29, No. 1 (Summer 2004), pp. 92-121. [pdf]
  • “Spirals, Security, and Stability in East Asia,” International Security, Vol. 28, No. 4 (Spring 2000).

 

Security on the Korean Peninsula