Chris Cillizza takes a careful look at Mitt Romney's "narrow path" to a possible victory in November. I thought the conclusion was interesting:
Given the narrowness of his electoral map window, the key for Romney this fall is to win in places that Bush, McCain and other Republican nominees over the past two decades have struggled to make inroads. No Republican has carried Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes), Michigan (16) or Wisconsin (10) in any of the past five elections, for example.
Picking up one of those states would be evidence that the Republican Party can remain a national party. My how things can change in eight years ... remember this?