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The New York Times carried an article over the weekend on "Helping Democrats Find a Way to Reach the Religious," featuring Dartmouth alumna (and Rockefeller Center Board of Visitors member) Leah Daughtry '84. Leah serves as Howard Dean's chief of staff at the DNC and is spearheading the Democratic Party's religious outreach. From the article:

The drive to reach religious Americans began after Election Day 2004, when Ms. Daughtry was so distraught over reports of a Republican landslide among “values voters” — a term commonly associated with conservative Christian voters — that she commissioned a poll on the subject. For roughly half of all voters, the poll found, religion is as much an influence on how they vote as any other factor.

For Mr. Dean, seeing the poll results was a “gestalt moment.”

“People weren’t scared about losing their jobs,” Mr. Dean said. “They were scared about losing their kids, about what was on television, and about the methamphetamine lab the local sheriff had just found.”

Mr. Dean did not have a vision for how religious outreach should work, Ms. Daughtry said, “but he had a willingness to say a rare thing in this town: ‘I don’t know. You do know, so what’s the best way to do this?’”

For Ms. Daughtry, the answer had less to do with Democrats changing positions than with engaging religious voters and articulating the values behind their positions.

Although I have no partisan interest in the Democratic Party, it is reassuring to see it attempting to put together the broadest possible coalition of voters, including parts of the voting population that it had ceded almost without a contest in years past.

The steady stream of candidates to campus continued on Monday, with Congressman Tom Tancredo holding a Town Hall meeting at the Rockefeller Center. Here's an article in The Dartmouth covering the main points of his remarks. Most of the evening was a discussion of his views on immigration. Since I'm not a fan of establishing a guest worker program, which I consider an institutionalized second-class citizenship, I tend to agree with him more than the other candidates. On the efficacy of building fences and on whether we should be doing more to enable legal immigration, he's more of a hardliner than I am.

Overall, I had the same reaction to him as I had to Congressman Ron Paul when he visited. As a Republican, there are many things about his views that resonate with me. But my question is this. In a nutshell, "If those are your beliefs ..., then why are you not taking on a leadership role in Congress to make sure they are reflected in the law of the land?" If you fancy yourself an authentic conservative, and if you believe that the people will support you in your views, then build a governing coalition around that among your colleagues in Congress. If you cannot do that, then why would we think that you have the ability to lead from the Oval Office?

There was a frank discussion about what it has been like to serve in Congress in recent years, and he had no particularly kind words for how the institution functioned while the Republicans were in the majority. At one point, he likened Congress to "Chinese water torture on your principles." He said that the way arms were twisted by the Republican leadership to pass the Medicare drug bill was a low point for him as a Republican in Congress.

Mine, too.

Congressman Ron Paul visited Dartmouth yesterday, speaking and meeting for about an hour with a large group of students at the Rockefeller Center. Back in June, I wrote, "My libertarian leanings make me predisposed to like Congressman Paul." After attending the event, I still like him, but I don't think that having libertarian leanings should necessarily translate into support for his Presidential campaign. I'll give two reasons:

First, he's running for Commander in Chief, not Contrarian in Chief. If these are his views, and he has spent the last decade in Congress (after his earlier service in the 1970s and 1980s), then it is reasonable to expect that he would have not just voted libertarian on key issues, but that he would have built a consensus among his colleagues so that the work product of Congress was itself more libertarian. I don't see any evidence of that sort of leadership.

Second, his answers to questions of public policy tend to be too procedural for my liking. Under questioning by a number of the students in attendance about public policies, his responses in support of limited government tended to be of the form, "It is not in the Constitution, so we should not be doing it." This was the case, for example, when a student asked about the extreme inequalities in the quality of primary and secondary education across the country and what the Department of Education's role should be in addressing that. Do you allow children in poor neighborhoods to continue to get abysmally substandard education? The question merited an answer based on Milton Friedman's spirited argument for education vouchers and market solutions, not a faint protest that he'd like to scrap the Department of Education.

It was fascinating to have a ringside seat at last night's debate. I got to meet all of the candidates and make some remarks in the pre-program, which was televised only on NECN but not MSNBC. NECN has some clips here, and the New York Times has this interesting transcript analyzer. For local coverage, see the story in The Dartmouth and this image gallery.

The Rockefeller Center ran a focus group, some results of which are reported here. The headline is right--it was hard to see any positive outcome for Senator Obama:

Laughing at the candidates’ skirmishes and one-liners but engaging in serious discourse on the their merits, Dartmouth students identified Illinois Sen. Barack Obama as the biggest loser of Wednesday’s debate — but couldn’t agree on a winner — in a focus group moderated by government professor Ron Shaiko, a senior fellow and associate director of the Rockefeller Center.

Given how much I enjoyed his trip to Dartmouth in May and seeing his campaign's visibility yesterday morning (to say nothing of the generally favorable things I've written about him), I was astonished to find myself wondering during the event whether he was still campaigning for the top spot. I initially thought that he was suffering from simply less airtime than in previous events, but the Dodd-clock shows that he still got as much as anyone but Senator Clinton.

In general, I think that Senator Biden and Congressman Kucinich did the best for themselves, but Senator Clinton simply won by not losing. The greatest irony of the night was Senator Gravel accusing other folks of living in Fantasy Land. That's rich. My biggest lesson of the day was that Tim Russert is an extremely talented moderator. With him at the podium, there was no need for gimmicks.

For the best write-up I've read, see this piece by Reid Wilson at Real Clear Politics, my first interview in the Spin Room.

Tonight, the Rockefeller Center and its partners on campus will host a nationally televised debate among the Democratic candidates for President. It airs live tonight on MSNBC.

Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Julia Steers of MSNBC have posted their "First Read." They note:

A brand-new CNN/WMUR poll finds her [Senator Clinton] with a 23-point lead over Obama in New Hampshire (43%-20%). Back in July, her lead was nine points (36%-27%). With that kind of advantage, and with about three months until the early nominating contests begin, doesn’t each debate become more and more important for the candidates chasing her?

You wouldn't know about that lead in the polls from the early morning visibility around Hanover. Dropping off our son at kindergarten this morning, it was all Obama, all the time, with all four corners of the intersection at Wheelock and Park Streets boasting Obama supporters. I think the chase is on--we'll know more this evening.

The mildly inclement weather abated yesterday over Hanover to allow for a fine graduation ceremony. The featured commencement speaker was Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson '68, who shared some fond memories and good advice. You can find the transcript and audio here, along with the speeches by President Wright and Valedictorian Nikolas Primack. Blessedly, there was no trace of this lunacy to detract from the event.

This part of President Wright's speech was particularly inspiring:

You have learned that the world can sometimes be a scary place. You have seen individuals guided by the dark voices within them or led by demagogues of hate from without. You grew up with scenes of Columbine, were stunned by 9/11, and now you reflect on images of Virginia Tech.

But as Dartmouth graduates, you know neither to accept pessimism or fatalism nor to hunker down in fear. There are in this world vastly more people who care than there are those who hate. Love and respect and caring can stand up to evil and hatred. They can do so if those who embrace those values will stand.

One of the problems of our time may be the growth of a culture of fear, where our children grow up afraid of strangers and wary of the strange. Walls and gates of security come with some costs. Liberty, freedom of thought, of speech, of belief, and of association; a culture that welcomes the different and a society that assumes responsibility for the less fortunate; openness, generosity, curiosity—these explain American society at its best. They are not abstract sentiments to be traded for a false sense of security.

Congratulations and so long, Class of 2007.

Today, the College Democrats and the Rockefeller Center co-sponsored an appearance by Senator Barack Obama at Dartmouth. Here's a picture of him addressing the crowd in the courtyard outside the Center.

Some estimates put the crowd at 5-6,000. That was my unscientific estimate as well from my vantage point underneath that flag. I saw what was in the picture below, a crowd that could likely have been arranged in about 60 rows of 100 people each.

There was nothing surprising about his remarks if you have heard him speak before. His line on the war in Iraq is, "We need to be as careful getting out as we were careless getting in." On the domestic side, he covered the big three of health care, education, and the environment in a way that didn't seem to be different from other Democrats I've heard. Nothing on immigration as I recall.

In the press conference that followed, the questions were split between specific issues (mostly the war) and the process of the campaign. On the latter, it seemed as if the press wanted him to comment unduly on current polls, such as these, in which he is trailing Senator Clinton. He answered them politely. I think he should have used the Fight Club defense: The first rule of a campaign is, "Don't Talk About the Campaign." Talk about the issues. Talk about people.

On a personal level, he seemed both gracious and attentive, despite what is already a grueling schedule. I think he will continue to grow as a candidate, in just the way we would hope from retail politics in New Hampshire. I stand by what I wrote in these two earlier posts. There's only one poll that matters in the end.

UPDATES: An example of the press coverage of his appearance, in this post by John McCormick of the Chicago Tribune. The article in the campus newspaper here. Video of the event is being posted. This link is to YouTube search results. Here's a short clip that shows his appeal--none of his rivals are as compelling on this issue.

Last week, ABC News made the Wright choice for its Person of the Week. To read more about the inspiring work that Dartmouth President Jim Wright has been doing on behalf of severely injured veterans, see this story from The New York Times:

When he first met James Wright, the president of Dartmouth College, two years ago, Samuel Crist was in a hospital bed at the National Naval Medical Center in Bethesda, Md., recuperating from gunshot wounds from a firefight in Falluja, Iraq.

“I was pretty heavily medicated, so my memory is a little bit foggy, but he was visiting people and asking about their experiences in the war, and pushing people to get an education,” said Mr. Crist, 22, who grew up in Lafayette, La. “He said he’d been a marine, too, and he’d gone to college after he got out as a lance corporal, the same rank I separated at.”

That hospital visit changed things for both Mr. Crist and Mr. Wright: On Mr. Wright’s advice, Mr. Crist enrolled in college courses in Texas, and next fall, will transfer to Dartmouth.

Mr. Wright, 67, meanwhile, has made eight more visits to wounded veterans at Bethesda and at Walter Reed Army Medical Center in Washington, and, with the American Council on Education, started a program to provide individualized college counseling to seriously injured veterans.

We'll look forward to welcoming Mr. Crist and others to campus in the fall and, as ever, be grateful that we can honor them on Veterans' Day rather than Memorial Day.

Yesterday, the Rockefeller Center hosted a blogging panel, moderated by John Hinderaker of Powerline and comprised of Ann Althouse, Brendan Nyhan, Laura Clawson, Roger Simon, Joe Malchow, and Andrew Seal. It was a very productive discussion.

I came away with two main points. First, as noted particularly by Nyhan, Clawson, and Seal, there is very little that is inherent in blogging that makes it a superior form of commentary to traditional forms. We should think of them as complementary, and, as some of the other panelists pointed out, incremental to traditional media. The lower cost of blogging as compared to other media outlets means that the set of people who can contribute is much wider. There have been episodes where it has been a blogger, possibly in conjunction with blog readers, who has brought to light new information that would have otherwise been missed. Most of the time, this is not happening, and there is very little that is new in blogs. Good writers get bigger audiences, just like any other form of writing. But it is nice to have another mechanism that can occasionally make a critical difference.

Second, I began to think about what happens to blogs after the current events fade in importance. Well, then each post is just a webpage, and to a reasonable approximation, all webpages are eventually relevant only insofar as they attract the attention of search engines. I noted in one of my very first posts that I found Powerline about four years ago because I was searching for an explanation of a news story. In other words, I found them through Google. At some point, Google organizes everything in the blogosphere around what people years from now will find interesting and worth searching.

UPDATE: The D has a nice writeup of the event here.

Today's issue of The Dartmouth includes a story on Bill Richardson's speech last evening. There's not a whole lot in the story to that would reach out and pull me across the political aisle, but that's true of all of his primary competitors as well. And who knows what choices I'll have next year? I can say at this point that I approve of his sense of humor:

Despite his experience, Richardson continues to lag in the polls with his numbers fluctuating in the single digits. His campaign has raised $6 million, a figure dwarfed by the $26 million and $25 million of presidential candidates Sens. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., and Barack Obama, D-Ill., respectively.

Richardson, however, remains optimistic.

"Money doesn't vote; it's people. It's issues and voters."

Richardson points to the steady gain he has been making in the polls.

"I was under the margin of error when I started." Richardson joked. "Now we're up to 6 percent. We're third in Minnesota. I called my staff and said how come I'm third, I haven't been there, and they said 'That's why your [sic] third.'"