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Great Depression
Who Anticipated the Great Depression?, Gustav Cassel versus Keynes and Hayek on the Interwar Gold Standard , Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 46 (February 2014): 199-227.The French Gold Sink and the Great Deflation , Cato Papers on Public Policy 2 (2012-13): 3-41.Gold Sterilization and the Recession of 1937-38 , Financial History Review 19 (December 2012): 249-267.Esprit de Currency , Finance and Development , June 2011.The Slide to Protectionism in the Great Depression: Who Succumbed and Why? , (with Barry Eichengreen), Journal of Economic History 70 (December 2010): 872-898.Trade Blocs, Currency Blocs, and the Reorientation of World Trade in the 1930s , (with Barry Eichengreen) Journal of International Economics 38 (February 1995): 1-24.
US Trade Policy
The Nixon Shock after 40 Years: The Import Surcharge Revisited , World Trade Review 12 (January 2013): 29-66.Revenue or Reciprocity? Founding Feuds over Early U.S. Trade Policy in Founding Choices: American Economic Policy in the 1790s, edited by Douglas A. Irwin and Richard Sylla. Chicago: University of Chicago Press & NBER, 2011.“Trade Restrictiveness and Deadweight Losses from U.S. Tariffs .” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 2 (August 2010): 111-133.
Antebellum Tariff Politics: Regional Coalitions and Shifting Economic Interests , Journal of Law and Economics 51 (November 2008): 715-742.The Antebellum U.S. Iron Industry: Domestic Production and Foreign Competition (with Joseph H. Davis), Explorations in Economic History 45 (July 2008): 254-269.
Tariff Incidence in America’s Gilded Age , Journal of Economic History 67 (September 2007): 582-607.The Welfare Costs of Autarky: Evidence from the Jeffersonian Embargo, 1807-1809 . Review of International Economics 13 (September 2005): 631-645.The Rise of U.S. Antidumping Activity in Historical Perspective . The World Economy 28 (May 2005): 651-668.The Aftermath of Hamilton’s Report on Manufactures , Journal of Economic History 64 (September 2004): 800-821.The Optimal Tax on Antebellum Cotton Exports , Journal of International Economics 60 (August 2003): 275‑291.New Estimates of the Average Tariff of the United States, 1790-1820 . Journal of Economic History 63 (June 2003): 506-513.Explaining America’s Surge in Manufactured Exports, 1880-1913 , Review of Economics and Statistics 85 (May 2003): 364-376.Interpreting the Tariff-Growth Correlation of the Late Nineteenth Century, American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings) 91 (May 2002): 165-169.
The Antebellum Tariff on Cotton Textiles Revisited (with Peter Temin), Journal of Economic History 61 (September 2001): 777-798Tariffs and Growth in Late Nineteenth Century America , The World Economy 24 (January 2001): 15-30.Could the U.S. Iron Industry Have Survived Free Trade After the Civil War? Explorations in Economic History 37 (July 2000): 278-299.
Did Late Nineteenth Century U.S. Tariffs Promote Infant Industries? Evidence from the Tinplate Industry , Journal of Economic History 60 (June 2000): 335-360.Interests, Institutions, and Ideology in Securing Policy Change: The Republican Conversion to Trade Liberalization after Smoot-Hawley (with Randall S. Kroszner), Journal of Law and Economics 42 (October 1999): 643-673.
Changes in U.S. Tariffs: The Role of Import Prices and Commercial Policies , American Economic Review 88 (September 1998): 1015-1026.The Smoot-Hawley Tariff: A Quantitative Assessment , Review of Economics and Statistics 80 (May 1998): 326-334.Higher Tariffs, Lower Revenues? Analyzing the Fiscal Aspects of the Great Tariff Debate of 1888 , Journal of Economic History 58 (March 1998): 59-72.From Smoot-Hawley to Reciprocal Trade Agreements: Changing the Course of U.S. Trade Policy in the 1930s , in Michael Bordo, Claudia Goldin, and Eugene White (eds.), The Defining Moment: The Great Depression and the American Economy (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1998).Log-Rolling and Economic Interests in the Passage of the Smoot-Hawley Tariff, (with Randall S. Kroszner) Carnegie-Rochester Series on Public Policy , 45 (December 1996): 173-200.
Trade Politics and the Semiconductor Industry , in Anne O. Krueger (ed.), The Political Economy of American Trade Policy (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1996).
General Trade Policy
“Free Trade and Multilateralism in Historical Perspective ,” (with Kevin H. O’Rourke). In Globalization in an Age of Crisis: Multilateral Economic Cooperation in the Twenty-First Century , edited by Robert C. Feenstra and Alan M. Taylor. Chicago: University of Chicago Press for the NBER, 2014.
Airbus versus Boeing Revisited: International Competition in the Aircraft Market (with Nina Pavcnik), Journal of International Economics 64 (December 2004): 223‑245. Causing Problems? The WTO Review of Causation and Injury Attribution in U.S. Section 201 Cases , World Trade Review 2 (November 2003): 297‑325.
Does Trade Raise Income? Evidence from the Twentieth Century (with Marko J. Terviö), Journal of International Economics 58 (October 2002): 1-18.
High Tech R&D Subsidies: Estimating the Effects of Sematech, (with Peter J. Klenow) Journal of International Economics 40 (May 1996): 323-344.
The GATT’s Contribution to Economic Recovery in Post-War Europe, in Barry Eichengreen (ed.), Europe’s Postwar Growth (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1995).
The GATT in Historical Perspective, American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings) 85 (May 1995): 323-328.
Learning-by-Doing Spillovers in the Semiconductor Industry, (with Peter J. Klenow) Journal of Political Economy 102 (December 1994): 1200-1227.Multilateral and Bilateral Trade Policies in the World Trading System: An Historical Perspective, in Jaime de Melo and Arvind Panagariya (eds.), New Dimensions in Regional Integration (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1993).
British Trade Policy
“The Reciprocity Debate in Parliament ,” in Andrew Marrison (ed.), Free Trade and Its Reception, 1815-1860 (London: Routledge, 1998).
The Political Economy of Free Trade: Voting in the British General Election of 1906 , Journal of Law and Economics 37 (April 1994): 75-108.Free Trade and Protection in Nineteenth Century Britain and France Revisited: Comment on Nye , Journal of Economic History 53 (March 1993): 146-152.Strategic Trade Policy and Mercantilist Trade Rivalries , American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings) 82 (May 1992): 138-143.
Mercantilism as Strategic Trade Policy: The Anglo-Dutch Rivalry for the East India Trade , Journal of Political Economy 99 (December 1991): 1296-1314.Political Economy and Peel’s Repeal of the Corn Laws , Economics and Politics 1 (Spring 1989): 41-59.Welfare Effects of British Free Trade: Debate and Evidence from the 1840s, Journal of Political Economy 96 (December 1988): 1142-1164.
