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Ten years ago, a cultural phenomenon swept the United States. This was “Linsanity,” the mass hype surrounding a Harvard basketball player, who, after going undrafted in 2010, would become one of the biggest stars of the sport barely a year later. Two years after that, nobody save for the most diehard basketball fans would even know what team he played on. Meanwhile, in tennis, there is Roger Federer, who, at 40, is still one of the juggernauts of tennis. Perhaps even look at Kevin Harvick, the 45-year-old NASCAR driver who led the series last year with nine wins (a quarter of the schedule).

One could point to a number of reasons why Jeremy Lin fizzled out so young or how Harvick seems to have discovered the fountain of youth, but what we find more interesting is to look at each sport as a whole. We want to determine what the “peak age” is in three different sports. Peak age can be defined as the age at which players, on average, have the most success based on each sport’s individual measurement criteria. Do basketball players tend to simply fizzle out younger? Do NASCAR drivers perform better with a little gray in their beards? Let’s dig in.

...continue reading "Peak Age in Sports"

With the major NBA regular season award announcements coming shortly, our members broke down the most interesting races and highlighted the most deserving player for each award. Our picks for MVP, Rookie of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, and Coach of the Year are below.

...continue reading "The Deserving Winners of the NBA Awards"

The 2021 NFL Draft featured five quarterbacks that were selected in the first round, three of whom were the top three picks. This number is unusually large compared to past drafts, and the expectation for many of these quarterbacks is to turn their franchises around within a few years. Each of these players were widely successful in their college careers: three of them appeared in the College Football Playoff, two of them were FBS champions, one was an FCS champion, and all of them spent a portion of their careers with teams ranked in the Top 25 of their respective divisions. With so much hype surrounding these players, the Dartmouth Sports Analytics Club predicts how well each player will fit into the system of their new franchises. 

...continue reading "First Round Quarterbacks: Why Each New Signal-Caller Is Poised for Success"

With the NBA playoffs only a month away, the seeding situation in both conferences is beginning to heat up. That said, some teams have asserted themselves as true contenders while others have already played themselves out of the playoff race. The expanded play-in tournament for seeds 7-10, however, has allowed for more teams to stay right in the thick of the playoff hunt, creating a host of new storylines to follow as the regular season winds down. Many of last year’s contenders — Denver, Milwaukee, and both Los Angeles teams, to name a few — are right back in the hunt, while the rise of the Nets and Sixers in the East and the Jazz and Suns in the West has shaken up the narrative. In a season where many teams have risen far above and some fallen wildly short of expectations, a few members of the Dartmouth Sports Analytics Club wanted to highlight this season’s top overperformers and underperformers. 

...continue reading "Analyzing the NBA’s Biggest Over and Underachievers"

When March rolls around every year, the hype begins for college basketball’s national championship. Sixty-four teams, seeded into four regions of sixteen, compete to win six straight and take home the title. From bracket-making to skipping class on game days, there’s a lot to enjoy about March Madness. But when it comes to what makes the tournament shine, the upsets take the cake. Watching a 10- or 11-seed to claw past a favorite and searching for an elusive 12-5 upset appeals to the underdog in all of this. With 2021’s tournament over and Gonzaga’s undefeated streak coming to an end right at the finish line to the hands of Baylor, a few members of the Sports Analytics Club have decided to take a look at some of this tournament’s best upsets to see if there are any common threads.

...continue reading "Upsets-in-Review: Breaking Down Four of Our March Madness Favorites"

With the Final Four tipping off this weekend, the Dartmouth Sports Analytics executive board presents the case for each of the remaining teams in the NCAA Tournament. No. 2 Houston takes on No. 1 Baylor on Saturday at 5:14 p.m. ET, while No. 11 UCLA faces off against No. 1 overall seed Gonzaga at 8:34 p.m. ET. The National Championship will be on Monday, April 5 at 9 p.m. ET.

Without further ado, the case for each Final Four team to cut down the nets...

...continue reading "Who Will Win the NCAA Championship? The Case for Every Final Four Team"

Joe Gyorda '22

Sports are finally returning after having halted as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The NBA is one of many professional leagues with plans to resume their paused seasons. This past NBA season was arguably the most balanced the league has been in the past five years, presenting fans with entertaining basketball that was just culminating when things shut down. Given it has been nearly four months since the last NBA game was played, I’ve decided to list my picks for awards for the 2019-20 season thus far. We’ll see which of these predictions hold up once the season restarts. Many of these awards are certainly still up in the air, but here are the picks I ended up going with:

...continue reading "Speculating NBA Awards for the 2019-20 Season"

Joseph Notis '21

On March 11, 2020, the NBA suspended its season in response to the coronavirus pandemic. With no clear return date for basketball’s highest level of competition, the status of the each team's remaining 15 to 19 games for each team is. Among the multitude of theories on how the NBA season will progress is that the regular season is over and the playoffs will begin as soon as the league resumes play. This leads to the question, who would benefit if there are no more regular season games?

...continue reading "If the NBA Regular Season Is Over, Who Benefits?"

Dartmouth Sports Analytics members make their predictions ahead of this Sunday's matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers.

...continue reading "Dartmouth Sports Analytics on Super Bowl LIV"